Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 18.250726 20.805317 23.702884 27.256470 31.529453 36.543114 42.931983
2025-08-24 14.745897 17.906902 21.806119 27.049893 34.043527 43.237617 56.566787
2025-08-31 12.545242 15.855279 20.164497 26.325937 35.152412 47.745038 67.871814
2025-09-07 11.131239 14.517579 19.119661 26.037603 36.560787 52.677453 80.807762
2025-09-14 9.765244 13.036224 17.626715 24.795765 36.223476 54.748411 89.531548
2025-09-21 8.645674 11.761184 16.249516 23.483976 35.479721 55.900297 96.808121
2025-09-28 7.875412 10.904300 15.377049 22.807556 35.609771 58.486686 107.444658
2025-10-05 8.064737 11.473812 16.704605 25.818354 42.519605 74.855159 152.362994
2025-10-12 7.789756 11.298688 16.832749 26.816200 45.973466 85.422331 188.990692
2025-10-19 7.203262 10.579405 16.000216 26.006244 45.808382 88.341841 207.430398
2025-10-26 6.985005 10.430287 16.095755 26.882029 49.149411 99.883229 255.773290
2025-11-02 6.580379 9.941598 15.563206 26.506178 49.802749 105.260616 288.307993
2025-11-09 6.184608 9.455801 15.022661 26.111000 50.491123 111.312301 328.544420
2025-11-16 5.854495 9.058307 14.606280 25.917295 51.624594 118.980670 381.022533
2025-11-23 5.489324 8.573157 13.987287 25.232007 51.480327 123.079988 422.584979
2025-11-30 5.213336 8.224309 13.589408 24.959037 52.289332 130.273971 484.992172
2025-12-07 4.847213 7.692839 12.808626 23.782795 50.639443 129.441113 507.541318
2025-12-14 4.502360 7.180631 12.030667 22.539296 48.640207 127.029443 520.664620
2025-12-21 4.256370 6.833405 11.546282 21.897674 48.135309 129.522520 565.471545
2025-12-28 4.421423 7.243435 12.562819 24.751435 57.694814 171.204696 930.912728
2026-01-04 4.362784 7.233552 12.743395 25.696052 62.122386 196.368533 1244.567880
2026-01-11 4.139227 6.898814 12.237225 24.929345 61.260362 199.315268 1359.372023
2026-01-18 4.080839 6.876004 12.373343 25.758349 65.547446 227.152808 1833.141271